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30 May 2024 | FXGT.com

Japanese Yen Strengthens as BoJ Board Member Signals Potential Rate

Japanese Yen Gains After BoJ Comments: The Japanese Yen strengthened following remarks from Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Seiji Adachi. He indicated support for raising interest rates if a weaker Yen leads to increased inflation and emphasized the gradual reduction of bond purchases to allow long-term yields to reflect market signals accurately.

Japanese Yen Appreciates: The Japanese yen gained, with the USD/JPY pair dropping below the ¥157 per dollar mark. The yen rebounded from four-week lows as a broad selloff in risk assets spurred safe-haven buying. The yen also gained support from increasing domestic yields, with Japan’s benchmark 10-year yield hitting 1.1% this week, the highest since July 2011.

Market Reactions and Expectations: Traders increased bets on the BoJ implementing another interest rate hike. Attention is now focused on Tokyo’s inflation data, set for release on Friday, which is seen as a key indicator of nationwide price trends.

Pressure from a Strong Dollar: Despite recent gains, the yen remains under pressure from a strong dollar and high US Treasury yields, amid growing expectations that US interest rates could stay elevated for an extended period.

Hawkish US Fed Remarks and USD Strength: Comments from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari about potential rate hikes fuelled concerns, sustaining the yield gap between the US and Japan. The USD strengthened due to elevated US Treasury yields, driven by increased risk aversion ahead of the US GDP figures due later today, and the Core PCE Price Index data to be released tomorrow.

Fed Interest Rate Expectations: Expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate reductions this year have decreased amid persistent inflation, highlighted by a recent uptick in consumer sentiment. Traders now see a 50% probability of a quarter-point cut by the end of the September meeting.

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