Technical overview – Bitcoin Under Pressure: Key Support Zone in Focus
Bearish Pressure: Bitcoin has faced strong selling pressure after failing to break the $72,000 resistance in early June. Its performance for the month is down 9%, with over a 5% drop last week, marking the second consecutive weekly decline. This downturn coincides with Mt. Gox’s trustee announcing Bitcoin payments to creditors in July, fuelling bearish sentiment due to anticipated selloffs.
Sentiment and ETFs: The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has dropped to a “Neutral” reading of 46, the lowest in eight months. Additionally, Bitcoin funds have seen significant outflows over the past two weeks, the highest levels since Bitcoin ETFs were approved.
Sideways Consolidation: Bitcoin continues to remain contained within a medium-term sideways range as it tests the liquidity at both boundaries, preparing for its next directional move. The break below $66,500 has shifted momentum to bearish, with attention now on the key support levels. Despite losing nearly 15% over the last two weeks, Bitcoin remains within the $60,000 to $70,000 range it has traded in since March.
Key Support Levels: Traders are closely monitoring the psychological support at $60,000, the 200-day EMA upper boundary at $59,000, and the 4-month low at $56,500, which, if breached, could indicate further downside and initiate a long-term correction in the market.
Market Outlook: Despite the bearish momentum, long-term support remains intact if Bitcoin finds strong support around the $60,000-$58,000 zone and shows signs of reversal. However, a further break below $58,000 could accelerate bearish pressure, potentially leading to a drop below $56,500, triggering a long-term correction. Bullish traders are monitoring the zone between $60,000 and $56,500 for any bullish signs that could indicate a recovery within the recent range, and a continuation of the sideways pattern.
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