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As digital assets continue to redefine the global financial landscape, Bitcoin and broader crypto markets are navigating a wave of institutional shifts, regulatory scrutiny, and geopolitical tension. From BlackRock’s record-breaking ETF outflow to the IMF’s pushback on Pakistan’s mining ambitions, the headlines signal a market in flux. Meanwhile, U.S. regulators are casting a critical eye on Ethereum and Solana staking ETFs, even as analysts weigh gold’s recent gains against Bitcoin’s long-term promise.
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ended its 31-day inflow streak on May 30 with its largest daily outflow to date — $430.8 million, surpassing its previous record set in February. This marks a significant moment in the short history of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, which collectively saw $616.1 million in outflows that day. Despite strong inflows earlier in May, including $6.2 billion into BlackRock’s fund alone, Bitcoin’s price has remained relatively flat, suggesting institutional repositioning rather than retail panic.
The IMF has raised concerns over Pakistan’s plan to allocate 2,000 megawatts of electricity for Bitcoin mining and AI data centers amid the country’s energy crisis and budget negotiations. The Fund was not consulted ahead of the announcement and is questioning the legality and economic impact of the move. As Pakistan pushes forward with its digital asset strategy—including launching a Bitcoin reserve and forming a Digital Asset Authority—the IMF is planning a special session to address the implications of the initiative.
Bitcoin’s recovery from the April 7 low has gained substantial traction, with prices rallying more than 50% from trough to peak and breaking decisively above the key psychological level of $110,000. The move culminated in a new all-time high just shy of $112,000.
Technical conditions remain broadly supportive. Both the 20- and 50-period EMAs are trending upward, underscored by the “Golden Cross” formation in April—an event that historically precedes sustained bullish momentum. Momentum indicators also remain constructive: the Momentum Oscillator continues to hold above the 100 mark, and RSI readings persist above 50, reflecting steady buying interest.
That said, the emergence of a top failure-swing reversal signals caution. This pattern may indicate weakening upside momentum and increases the likelihood of a pullback toward the 50-period EMA.
If bullish sentiment resumes, resistance at the recent all-time high of $111,782.75 will be the first key level to watch, followed by projected upside targets at $120,391 and $135,350. On the downside, support is seen near $102,948, with deeper retracement zones around $100,276 and $92,928. Price action around these levels will be critical in determining Bitcoin’s next directional move.
The SEC has warned that the proposed REX-Osprey Ethereum and Solana ETFs—both of which include staking—may not meet the Investment Company Act of 1940’s definition of an investment company. Although their registration became effective on May 30, the funds remain unlaunched and unlisted while regulators question whether staking-heavy portfolios qualify under Form N-1A and Rule 6c-11. The letter arrived one day after SEC staff issued non-binding guidance stating that most self- and custodial-staking activities fall outside securities laws, leaving the ETF issuers facing additional scrutiny and potential delays.
Gold has outperformed Bitcoin in recent days, gaining 27% year-to-date compared to Bitcoin’s 12%. Analysts credit gold’s resilience to inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and downgrades to U.S. credit. Despite the recent dip in Bitcoin, analysts believe its long-term outlook is brighter. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted over $7.3 billion since late April, while gold ETFs have seen $4.9 billion in outflows. With major institutions backing crypto funds, analysts suggest Bitcoin may be “winning the war,” even if gold won the latest battle.
The crypto market stands at a pivotal juncture where institutional movements, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic pressures are reshaping sentiment and structure. BlackRock’s ETF outflow and the SEC’s scrutiny of staking products reflect a maturing landscape still negotiating its legal and operational footing. Meanwhile, Pakistan’s bold ambitions signal growing global interest despite policy frictions. Technically, Bitcoin shows strength but faces critical tests ahead. As gold temporarily outshines BTC, long-term momentum appears to favor digital assets—underscoring a market that’s evolving but far from settled.